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With a lot happening on Saturday night, let’s take a closer look at the full fight card with the latest odds before getting into our staff’s predictions and picks for the PPV portion of the festivities.

  • Macy Chiasson -110 vs. Mayra Bueno Silva -110, Women’s Bantamweights
  • Ian Machado Gary -155 vs. Michael Page +130, Welterweights
  • Charles Jourdan -115 vs. Jean Silva -105, Featherweights
  • Rei Tsuruya -470 vs. Carlos Hernandez +350, flyweights

Perera Perera Perera Perera
lopez Ortega lopez ortega Ortega
Blacksmith Blacksmith Blacksmith
gary Page gary Page gary

Campbell:

What reason is there to expect this fight to play out differently than the first meeting? Prochazka is incredible to watch for the exact reasons Pereira is a terrible opponent for him. Prochazka is wide-open defensively and operates with an equally wide-open aggression. It’s just a bad combination against a fighter like Pereira, who has pinpoint striking as well as brute power. Prochazka could try and take a wrestling-first approach, but that’s not his bread and butter and I’m not sure that’s a recipe for guaranteed success against Pereira now that he’s had years to learn takedown defense and enough skills to survive and get back to. his feet when the fight does hit the floor. Expect a wild five to 10 minutes before Pereira lands the shot that signals the beginning of the end.

Talk about a fun, last-minute offering as a new co-main event. The dominant position within the featherweight rankings is available to both, but it is Lopes who has been more active and is riding a huge lightning bolt of momentum. Even though Ortega rebounded nicely to submit Yair Rodriguez in their February rematch, he absorbed big punishment (as usual). Unless we see an Ortega who is committed to moving his head and protecting himself within the fight, this is a fight that could be one on the feet, even to the point of a knockout. But even each other’s stronger grappling games are canceled out.

There is no way this fight will be boring. Ortega and Lopes are dynamic, offense-oriented fighters that exude knockout power and exciting submission games. It’s a toss-up stylistically. Ortega has the advantage of high-level experience. “T-City” has suffered a lot, but has not been stopped cleanly by the doctor stoppage alone. Lopes may not have as much high-level UFC experience, but he has competed professionally 10 times more than his opponent. Lopes performed quite well in his short-notice debut last year, losing against Movsar Evloev. Something tells me he’ll handle the quick turnaround better than Ortega, particularly considering how much damage Ortega took in a winning performance against Yair Rodriguez in February. My biggest concern in siding with Lopes is his paltry 37% striking defense in the UFC. That might balance out with Ortega’s surprisingly low 38% striking accuracy. I’ll trepidatiously take Lopes inside the distance.

Originally booked in a cursed co-main event slot as Khalil Rountree Jr.’s replacement, Smith remains the last man standing after Jamal Hill and Carlos Ulberg proceeded to follow Rountree to withdraw. Grow up. Smith’s opportunistic nature helped him stay on the card, as the only fighter who would agree to face him at extremely late notice was middleweight Roman Dolidze. Smith not only has the size and experience edge as a former 205-pound title challenger, his grappling skills could give Dolidze big issues as Smith attempts to build on the momentum of his first-round submission win over Vitor Petrino in May to stop a losing skid.

Who Wins UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2, and How Does Each Fight Really End? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks on UFC 303, all from the MMA expert who profited more than $1,500 on his UFC main-card picks, and find out.


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