France elections 2024: France ahead by some distance in the first round. What happens after this?

PARIS (AP) — French citizens will face a decisive decision on July 7 postpone parliamentary elections She could see the country’s first far-right government since the Nazi career after World War II – or refuse to grow a majority at all.

Legal implications show that a nationwide rally by Marine Le Pen’s anti-immigration, nationalist party stands a good chance for the first party to win a majority in the lower chamber of parliament, but the outcome is uncertain amid complex vote casting machines and political strategies.

What happened?

In Sunday’s first round, National Rally and its allies advanced with about a third of the vote. Brandnew Frequent Entrant Alliance Which comes together with the centre-left, the vegetables and the radical-left forces, came in second place, ahead of the President Emmanuel Macron’s Centrist alliance.

Dozens of applicants who received at least 50% of the votes on Sunday were directly elected. The entire alternative race will be held in a second round on June 7 that will feature two or three leading contenders.

Poll projections suggest the National Rally may have the second-highest number of seats in the National Assembly, but it is unclear whether it will get an absolute majority of 289 out of 577 seats.

French vote casting machine disproportionate to national support for birthday celebrations. MLAs are elected through districts.

What is it after all?

Contestants in the nationwide rally are struggling to gain an absolute majority.

The Left alliance said it would field its candidates from districts where they finished at 0.33 per cent to help competing candidates by some distance. Macron’s centrist coalition also said some of its candidates would fall ill ahead of the runoff in order to protest the nationwide rally.

This strategy came in handy in an era when Le Pen’s party and its predecessor the National Front were considered politically untouchable by many. However Le Pen’s birthday celebrations now enjoy widespread and deep support throughout the country.

Why is some distance emerging right?

France has one of the world’s largest economies and is a notable diplomatic and military power, with many French citizens suffering from inflation and ever-increasing earnings and being left behind through globalization.

Le Pen’s party, which blames immigration for many of France’s problems, has taken advantage of voter frustration and built a national support network, particularly in small towns and farming communities that are close to Macron and Paris. Political beauty is considered out of touch.

What is cohabitation?

If a political force other than the nationwide rally or his centrist coalition gets a majority, Macron will be forced to appoint a first-tier minister related to that untouched majority.

In this type of situation – known in France as “cohabitation” – the federal government would implement insurance policies that differ from the president’s plan.

The modern Republic of France has experienced three cohabitations from 1997 to 2002, the latter of which was under conservative President Jacques Chirac, with Socialist Prime Minister Lionel Jospin.

The High Minister is answerable to Parliament, leads the federal government and introduces spending.

During cohabitation the president becomes weaker at home, but still has some powers over foreign policy, European affairs, and security because he is in charge of negotiating and approving world treaties. The President may be the commander-in-chief of the country’s military, and is the sole person in charge of maintaining the nuclear codes.

Why is this topic?

The National Assembly, the lower chamber, is the stronger of the two houses of the French Parliament. It has general say in the law-making process over a Senate dominated by conservatives.

Macron has a presidential mandate until 2027, and said He will not be unwell before the end Of his time period. However a weak French president could complicate many problems internationally.

In all previous cohabitations, defense and international policies were considered the casual “reserved area” of the President, who was generally able to compromise with the Prime Minister to allow him to speak with an French accent. Of the country.

But nowadays, the approaches of both the far-right and leftist coalitions in these gardens are and will likely be fundamentally different from Macron’s. Concern in every way during possible intercourse,

Some far-right leader Jordan Bardella, who could become prime minister if his party wins a majority of seats, said he intended to be “a joint prime minister who respects the Constitution and the role of the President of the Republic” but we There will be no compromise on the policies we will implement.”

Bardella said that as a first-tier minister, he would Cancel sending French troops to Ukraine – an opportunity that Macron has not rejected. Bardella also said he would refuse French deliveries of long-range missiles and alternative weapons capable of striking targets inside Russia.

What if there is a rejected majority?

The President can name a first-tier minister from among the parliamentary staff with the most seats in the National Assembly, even if he does not have an absolute majority – this was the case for Macron’s personal centrist coalition since 2022.

But National Rally has already said it would reject such a decision, because a far-right government could soon be overthrown through a no-confidence vote if other political parties unite.

The president’s goal may be to assemble a broad coalition from left to right, an option that seems unlikely given political differences.

An alternative option could be to appoint a “government of experts” unaffiliated with political parties, but which would still need to be approved through a majority vote at the national meeting. This type of government would offer most of the day-to-day affairs in exchange for implementing major reforms.

If political talks become too long between summer holidays and 26th July-Aug. 11 olympics in parisMacron’s centrist government could book a transitional government until additional elections.