France is going through a wrong choice like election. Here’s how it works and what happens next

PARIS (AP) — French citizens are being called to the polls on Sunday for a future unprecedented in their political history: the first round. postpone parliamentary elections The country could see its first far-right government since the Second World War’s Nazi career – or a growing majority at all.

After a second round of voting on 7 July and an intense campaign, the outcome of the vote is highly uncertain as three major political factions are competing: Far right nationwide rally, chairman Emmanuel Macron’s centrist coalition and Untapped Comprehensive Access Alliance Which comes together with the centre-left, vegetable and radical-left forces.

Here’s a more in-depth look:

How does it paint?

The French machine has advanced and the national support for birthday celebrations is no longer proportionate. MLAs are elected by district. A parliamentary candidate must receive more than 50% of the votes for the month to be elected outright on Sunday.

Failing to do so, the two claimants to the supermajority, along with another person who received support from more than 12.5% ​​of registered citizens, advanced to the second round.

In some cases, 3 or 4 communities make it to the second round, even though some may secede to increase another contender’s chances – a tactic common in the day to deter far-right applicants.

It is expected that key party leaders will reveal their strategy between the two rounds. This makes the outcome of the second round highly uncertain, and dependent on political maneuvering and how citizens react.

The far-right Nationwide Rally, which leads all pre-election opinion polls, is expected to win an absolute majority or at least 289 seats out of 577.

The National Assembly, the lower sector, is the more difficult of the two estates of the Parliament of France. It has general authority in the law-making process over a Senate ruled by conservatives.

Macron has a presidential mandate until 2027, and said Now he won’t get sick before the end Of his time period.

What is cohabitation?

If a political party other than his centrist coalition wins a majority, Macron may be pressured to nominate a prime minister related to that unused majority.

In this type of situation – known as “cohabitation” in France – the federal government would implement insurance policies that differ from the president’s plan.

The modern Republic of France has experienced three cohabitations under conservative President Jacques Chirac, with socialist Prime Minister Lionel Jospin serving from 1997 to 2002.

The High Minister is answerable to Parliament, leads the federal government and introduces spending.

Political historian Jean Garrigues said, “In the case of cohabitation, the policies implemented are essentially those of the prime minister.”

During cohabitation the president becomes weaker at home, but still has some powers over foreign policy, European affairs, and defense because he is in control of negotiating and approving world treaties. The President may be the commander-in-chief of the pastoral militia, and is the only person to preserve the nuclear codes.

“It is possible for the President to stop or temporarily suspend the implementation of some of the Prime Minister’s projects, because he has the power to sign or not sign ordinances or orders of the government,” Garrigues said.

He added, “Yet the Prime Minister has the power to submit these ordinances and orders to the vote of the National Assembly, thus bypassing the President’s reluctance.”

Who leads the security and foreign insurance policies?

During earlier cohabitations, security and foreign policies were considered the casual “reserved area” of the President, who was often willing to compromise with the Prime Minister to allow France to speak with one voice abroad. Country.

But nowadays, the approaches of both the far-right and leftist coalitions on those topics are and likely will be fundamentally different from Macron’s. subject to hysteria all the way through potential coitus,

According to the charter, Garrigues said, “the President is the head of the army, it is the Prime Minister who has the armed forces.”

“Even in the diplomatic arena, the president’s scope is quite limited,” Garrigues said.

National Rally president, Jordan Bardella, said that if he were to become Prime Minister, Stop sending French troops to Ukraine – A possibility Macron has not ruled out. Bardella additionally stated that he would reject French deliveries of long-range missiles and alternative weapons capable of engaging targets within Russia itself.

If the leftist coalition wins the election, it could hamper France’s diplomatic efforts in the Middle East.

Unutilized Widespread Entrance’s platform plans to “immediately recognize the Palestinian state” and “sever the French government’s guilty support” for the government of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

Macron has argued in the past The popularity of the Palestinian system must be dealt a blow In a “useful moment”, it is suggested that the Israel-Hamas fight does not allow this type of thing in the future.

What if there is a wrong majority?

The president can nominate a prime minister from the parliamentary team with the most seats in the National Assembly – this was the case for Macron’s personal centrist coalition since 2022.

But National Rally has already said it would reject such a decision, because if other political parties unite, it could brutally overthrow the far-right government through a no-confidence vote soon.

The President may try to build a grand coalition from left to right, an option that seems unlikely given political differences.

Mavens says another advanced option would be to appoint “a government of experts” unaffiliated with political parties, but which would still need to be approved through a majority vote at the national meeting. This type of government will most likely promote day-to-day matters rather than implement fundamental reforms.

If political talks become too long between summer holidays and 26th July-Aug. 11 Olympic Games in Paris, Garrigues said a “transition period” has not been ruled out, during which Macron’s centrist government “will still be in charge of contemporary affairs”, pending further decisions.

“Whatever the National Assembly looks like, it seems that the Constitution of the 5th Republic is flexible enough to survive these complex situations,” Mélodie Mock-Gruet, a public regulation professional who teaches at Sciences Po Paris, said in a written notice. “Even in the face of this experimental exercise, institutions are much more solid than they appear.”

“Yet there is another unknown in the equation: the population’s ability to adapt to the situation,” Mock-Gruet wrote.