June quickly moved up to number 13 on the 30-day heat list. The story may end soon, but not the bad summer

The more than year-long stretch of record-breaking hottest months on Earth continued through June, according to EU supplier Copernicus.

Scientists said there is hope that the planet will soon end the record-setting part of the heat wave, but not the surrounding chaos that came with it.

Copernicus said in Monday’s initial announcement that global temperatures in June were the 13th hottest on record and the 12th straight generation when the region was 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) warmer than pre-industrial times.

“This is a stark warning that we are getting closer to this very important limit set by the Paris Agreement,” Nicolas Julien, a senior Copernicus scientist, said in an interview. “Global Temperature The increase continues. “Its pace is fast.”

He 1.5 degree temperature mark This is significant because almost all countries in the world agreed to a warming limit in the 2015 Paris climate accord, although Julian and other meteorologists have said the limit will not be exceeded unless there is a long-term period of extended heat. Ho – as much as 20 or 30 years.

“This is more than a statistical anomaly and it highlights Our climate is constantly changing,” Copernicus director Carlo Buontempo said in a statement.

According to Copernicus, the world’s average temperature in June 2024 was 62 degrees Fahrenheit (16.66 degrees Celsius), which is 1.2 degrees (0.67 Celsius) above the 30-year average for this month. It broke the record for warmest June set a year earlier by a quarter degree (0.14 °C) and is the third warmest of any month in the Copernican record dating back to 1940, trailed only by the previous July and Lag behind since last July. august.

It’s not just that records are being broken monthly, Julian said, but rather that they have been broken “by a very wide margin over the last 13 months.”

“How bad is it?” asked Texas A&M University climate scientist Andrew Deshler, who was not part of the report. “For the rich and for now, it is an expensive inconvenience. This is a suffering for the poor. The wealth you will have to acquire in the future just to endure the inconvenience will increase to a maximum people are suffering,

“Even without hitting the 1.5-degree threshold for a long time, we have seen the consequences of climate change, these extreme climate events” – meaning floods, storms, droughts and heat waves, Julian said.

The June heat further affected South-East Europe, Türkiye, Eastern Canada etc. Western United States and MexicoAccording to Copernicus, Brazil, northern Siberia, the Middle East, North Africa and western Antarctica. doctors had to treat thousands of heatstroke victims Last month the temperature in Pakistan reached 117 (47 degrees Celsius).

June was the 15th consecutive month that heat records have been broken in the world’s oceans, more than two-thirds of the Earth’s surface, according to Copernicus data.

Julian and other meteorologists said much of this heat is from long-term warming from greenhouse gases emitted from the burning of coal, oil and natural gas. Human-caused climate change causes huge amounts of trapped heat energy to go straight into the oceans and those oceans take longer to warm and cool.

The natural cycle of El Niños and La Niñas, which changes weather around the world by the warming and cooling of the central Pacific, also plays a role. El Nino leads to global temperature records and the strong El Nino that formed last year ended in June.

Another factor is that the air is cleaner over Atlantic shipping channels due to maritime shipping regulations, which reduce traditional air pollution particles like sulfur, which cause a slight cooling, the scientists said. This slightly masks the much larger warming impact of greenhouse gases. Tianle Yuan, a climate scientist at NASA and the University of Maryland Baltimore campus who led the study, said that “the masking effect is diminished and will temporarily increase the rate of warming” already caused by greenhouse gases. A study on the effects of shipping regulations,

Zeke Hausfather, a climate scientist at the tech company Stripes and the Berkeley Earth climate-monitoring group, said in a post on “This is the hottest year since global surface temperature records began in the mid-1800s.”

Copernicus has not yet calculated its possibilities, Julian said. The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration gave it a 50% chance last month.

Julian said the global daily average temperatures in late June and early July, while still warm, were not as hot as last year.

“I would say it’s likely that July 2024 will be colder than July 2023 and that trend will end,” Julian said. “It is still not certain. things can change.”

Andrew Weaver, a climate scientist at Victoria University, said the data shows the Earth is on track to rise by 3 degrees Celsius if emissions are not cut immediately. And he feared that the end of a string of record warm months and the arrival of winter snowfall would mean “people will soon forget the danger”.

“Our world is in crisis,” said Andrea Dutton, a climate scientist at the University of Wisconsin. “Perhaps you are feeling that crisis today – those who live along Beryl’s path are experiencing a storm. fueled by extremely hot oceans This has given rise to a new era of tropical storms that can rapidly transform into deadly and costly major hurricanes. Even if you’re not in trouble today, every temperature record we set means it’s more likely that climate change will bring trouble to your door or to your loved ones.

Copernicus uses billions of measurements from satellites, ships, planes and weather stations around the world and then re-analyzes them with computer simulations. Science agencies in several other countries – including NOAA and NASA – also produce monthly climate calculations, but they take longer, go further back in time and do not use computer simulations.

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