Labor arms Tories’ worst defeat in nearly 200 years

While most US citizens were watching fireworks yesterday Thursday night, Britain was going through some political fireworks of its own. As predicted, the Labor Party won a landslide victory in the July 4 general election, with party leader Keir Starmer becoming Prime Minister on Friday.

For one of Britain’s main political events – victorious Labor and defeated Tories – the election result brings challenging circumstances. In a fractured political environment, maintaining (or, in the case of the Tories, regaining) party unity will remain an ongoing effort.

Is Labor slipping to the left once again?

Ironically, Labour’s landslide victory could cause complications for Starmer. With 412 Members of Parliament (MPs) in the Commons constituency, of which only 326 are needed for a majority, the Prime Minister will face demands from his backbenchers to move further to the left.

Knowing full well that previous leader Jeremy Corbyn had disqualified the party with his fiscally irresponsible promises and appeasement of anti-Semitism, Starmer spent four hours reviving Labor in the central meadows. Worked hard for longer periods of time. Starmer ousted Corbyn from the Labor Party – even though he was re-elected as a different MP last Thursday – and promised to oppose antiquated tax rises in the upcoming parliament. The distinguished High Minister went so far as to believe his Labor predecessor Tony Blair that “Biologically, a woman is with a vagina and a man is with a penis,” declaring in the near future that “99.9% of women” wouldn’t have a penis (accepting crude biology, through labor requirements, is a bit of a spur of progress.)

However Starmer will face pressure from both his own MPs and activists. On spending, with the nationwide condition career and alternative community our bodies have been regularly clashing over the past several years over wage demands from staff, the unions representing the backbone of the workers’ birthday celebration will demand additional spending for themselves Contributor International In coverage, Muslim supporters are demanding a ceasefire in Gaza and other concessions to Hamas.

The Tories have already raised taxes over the past five years, and Britain is running a deficit like the US. However, don’t think these two bits of information will stop Labor’s left screaming for a second play at the tax-and-spend card game.

Starmer will have to remind his MPs that, while the party has traditionally had a supermajority in the Commons area, it has achieved majority survival by only winning a third (33.7 per cent) of the national vote. The joke is that due to low turnout, a leftist like Corbyn received more votes on Thursday in 2019 (10.3 million) than Starmer (9.7 million) – even though Starmer more than doubled the number of Labor MPs. Whether Starmer can remind Labor of their precarious political position, and bridge some of the remaining gap, will be the key factor for the UK in the years to come.

Tory Wipeout isn’t that evil anymore

On the one hand, the Conservative Party suffered its worst election result ever – the lowest number of MPs returned to Parliament in its two-century history and the highest number of seats lost by any British political party in any general election. Alternatively, the final result could have been even worse, with many pre-election polls predicting that the Tories would ultimately gain fewer than 100 seats.

The party has a (small) pool of MPs who can work to check the ancien régime and form the backbone of the fight to regain a majority. They are finally going to have an ancient leader, as outgoing Prime Minister Rishi Sunak made a self-evident pledge to get back on his feet after being unwell after Thursday’s carnage.

The Conservatives also have a roadmap to regain relevance, with the defeat of interim Prime Minister Liz Truss, who was elected by party members in 2022, only to be ousted by peer party MPs next week. Truss lost re-election in her South West Norfolk constituency to a Labor candidate by 630 votes, according to Life the Reform UK. The candidate got only about 10,000 votes – almost all of which he lost.

Concerned scenes took place across the country, particularly in the commercial north, which voted to leave the EU in 2016. Disaffected voters who voted Conservative in 2019 cast a ballot for Reform UK. This future, and the Tories’ numbers were reduced to such an extent that Labor regained the seats. In some seats, the Reform candidate received more votes than the Labor margin of victory, meaning that if all the votes had gone to the Conservatives, the Tories would have deprived Labor of a majority in Parliament.

That math supports some kind of alignment – ​​an alliance, merger, hostile takeover, you name it – between conservatives and reform. Five years ago, Nigel Farage, who led the Brexit Party, later renamed Reform, refused to field candidates in a number of seats because he wanted to ensure that a Conservative majority would lead to Brexit. Will give. During the month, Reform won five seats outright (including Faraz) and finished second with an additional 98 seats.

Some conservatives object to the political alliance, partly due to the media labeling Reform a “far-right” birthday party. Some of Reform’s applicants in the election made anti-Semitic and offensive statements (they were removed), and Farage himself, who finally won a seat in Parliament in his 8th battle, proved better at generating spectacular headlines than crudely stopping the presidency. And than to dispose.

However, the majority of the 4.1 million Britons who voted for reform are not racist, but dissatisfied. They have not taken into account the industrial benefits of Brexit, only additional bureaucracy for those moving goods into Northern Ireland (the part of the UK that shares a land border with the EU). They are frustrated by the large number of boats landing on their shores and a conservative government that, despite its tough rhetoric, is unable to stop them. And so they become angry when the focus is on “net zero”, which has been the obsession of Conservative elites since David Cameron’s Arctic tour nearly twenty years ago, which resulted in peak inflation and massive inflation in a month. But government expenditure increases the cost of electricity. For temporary subsidies that do not address the underlying disease.

Will leaders pay attention?

In both circumstances, voters sent good messages to party leaders: Labor must put the final socialism of Corbyn’s week behind them, and the Conservatives must rein in high-handed plans on immigration and Brexit and renew their recognition for accountable leadership. Must be installed from. Economic system. As one columnist put it, Truss’s escape from the Commons arena could significantly help her make a final entrance by bailing out Labor, a political bulwark that has been vulnerable to overcoming the Conservatives at the top since her aborted premiership. .

Numerically speaking, the Tories have a difficult path to regaining a majority, but since the combined Reform and Conservative vote (10.9 million) has overtaken Labor (9.7 million), there is a viable path to power. . Anyone who listens closely to messages from voters may find himself a favorite in the subsequent general election.