Categories: Sports

Mets vs Pirates Predictions and Picks for July 8, 2024

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The New York Mets and Pittsburgh Pirates conclude their four-game series in Pittsburgh on Monday afternoon. The Mets have taken two of the first three games of the series. On Monday afternoon, the Mets’ righty Christian Scott (0-2, 4.32) will face the Pirates’ righty Mitch Keller (9-5, 3.48) in a pitching matchup. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35 PM EST.

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New York goes with Scott

The New York Mets have won two of the first three games of this four-game set with the Pirates and will look to win their third straight and clinch the series on Monday afternoon. The suddenly revitalized Mets also have a chance to move above .500 with a win on Monday. On Sunday afternoon, Francisco Lindor capped off a late rally for the Mets by driving in the tying and go-ahead run with a 9th inning single. The Mets led 1–0 in the bottom of the eighth, but rebounded in the 9th to steal it.
“Big win for the team,” New York manager Carlos Mendoza said. “Finally we scored one. Then, we lost the lead. And then, batting in the ninth, unbelievable.”

The Mets will send righty Christian Scott to the hill against the Pirates on Monday afternoon. He recently returned to the rotation from the IL with an 0-2 record in six starts, including three quality starts. Scott has allowed 30 hits in 33.1 innings with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.14. He has walked eight batters and scored 27 runs while giving up four home runs. In his last start, a 7–5 loss to the Nationals in Washington, Scott allowed six hits in 5.2 innings while giving up four runs and striking out only two batters.

Key Injuries: SP Matthew Bruce Allen, RP Kyle Crick, RP Sean Reid-Foley, RP Shintaro Fujinami and RF Sterling Marte are out.

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Pirates Ace Keller gets a turn

The Pittsburgh Pirates got the thrill of victory and the pain of defeat simultaneously on Sunday afternoon against the Mets. The Pirates entered the bottom of the 8th inning trailing 1–0, but Nick Gonzales’ two-run single off Mets closer Edwin Diaz gave the Pirates a 2–1 lead. With closer Aroldis Chapman on the hill, the Pirates were one step away from victory, but a two-run single with the bases loaded sealed their fate in a 3–2 loss. The Pirates now need a win on Monday to take the lead in the four-match series.

“He got ahead in the count,” Pirates manager Derek Shelton said. “He hit Alvarez 0-2 to start the inning and walked him. He defeated Iglesias 1-2. We were one step away from the game being over. “Overall, getting a grip on the fastball was the biggest thing.”

The Pirates will put their hopes of splitting the series with the Mets on Monday afternoon into the capable hands of righty Mitch Keller. Keller comes into this game with a 9-5 record in 17 starts, including nine quality starts so far. He has allowed 102 hits in 103.1 innings while allowing 10 home runs. Keller has an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.25, while he walked 27 batters and struck out 96. In his last start, Keller gave up nine hits and six runs in five innings in a 7–4 loss to the Cardinals at home.

Key Injuries: SP Quinn Priester, RP Ryan Borucki, SP Marco Gonzales, SP Christopher Melendez and RP David Bednar are out.

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Best Bets for New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Full-game side bet

Insiders’ position:

Rating:

I want the Pirates to close out this series with a win on Monday afternoon. They send Keller right over the hill, causing a tough defeat at the Nationals on the road. However, the Pirates have won three of Keller’s last five starts overall. He has nine quality starts and should push the Tigers deep into this game with his skill. The performance against the Nationals was out of the ordinary for Keller as he had struck out a total of seven in his previous four starts. The Mets have lost four of Scott’s last five starts heading into this game. The Mets have also been a bit quiet lately, losing three of their last five games despite winning two games. I want the Pirates to finish the series with a win behind Keller.

Take the pirates with the money line.

Prediction: Pirate M.L

Full-game total pick

Insiders’ position:

Rating:

The Mets will have to battle Keller on Monday afternoon against the Pirates. As mentioned above, prior to his last start, Keller had given up seven runs in his previous four starts. Keller’s ERA in home runs this season is 3.05. The Pirates have gone below the run total in three of Keller’s last five starts. The Mets have gone under the total in three of their last four games heading into this game. Pirates have also gone below the total score in three of their last four matches. This will continue that trend.

Take it down.

Forecast: less than 8.5

Author Profile

Mark Ruel, “Marc Ruel”

Mark has been fond of sports since childhood. He is also an avid follower of sports analytics and has used it in his betting analysis for over two decades. Now we have Mark on our team here at State Salt. He has degrees in marketing, broadcasting, and English and uses this vast array of assets to dissect and analyze game matchups. Mark will provide you with a variety of stats to consider and a strong opinion in each matchup he covers. Please follow him daily for minute-by-minute analysis of all important games.

This post was published on 07/07/2024 4:19 pm

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